#051 - The Black Swan: Nassim Taleb (Incerto Series)

rational vc

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For the video version of this episode click here.

Timestamps:

(00:00) Intro / chit-chat

(09:26) Structure of the show

(10:36) What is a Black Swan?

(19:34) Human blindness to Black Swans

(01:02:45) Mediocristan vs Extremistan

(01:30:45) Bell Curve / Gaussian fraud

(01:37:18) Why the Midwit meme is wrong

(01:47:27) Leveraging Black Swans

(01:58:34) Chapter overviews

(02:19:16) Chapter 19 deep dive

(02:27:58) Favourite quotes / our lives

(02:37:09) Fat Tony

(02:43:33) 10 Principles for Black Swan robustness

(02:48:54) Amor Fati

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Our website (all essays and podcasts): rationalvc.com Our investment fund: rational.fund Cyrus' Twitter: x.com/CyrusYari Iman's Twitter: x.com/iman_olya

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Links mentioned in the episode below:

Iman Tweet on daily routines of creatives: https://twitter.com/iman_olya/status/1764721995743121415

Table 1 - Extremistan vs Mediocristan: https://capitalideasonline.com/wordpress/mediocristan-vs-extremistan/

Vizi Andrei: https://twitter.com/viziandrei

Cyrus being interviewed on the Brick by Brick podcast: https://open.spotify.com/episode/54RvagfMSIWNtVwAe2193a?si=1cb28db259814326

Cyrus essay on Angel Investing (incl. Barbell Investing): https://www.rationalvc.com/articles/angel

Cyrus essay on Tech Markets are Irrational: https://www.rationalvc.com/articles/irrational

Jack Raines FU Money ZeroHedge essay: https://www.youngmoney.co/p/fck-money

WhosAria Bars of Wisdom newsletter: https://www.barsofwisdom.com

Fat Tony's Community: https://fattonys.net/

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Disclaimer: The materials provided are solely for informational or entertainment purposes and do not constitute investment or legal advice. All opinions expressed by hosts and guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of their employer(s).

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