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Variance Betting Episode 2 | Professional Gambler Shares His English Premier League Preseason Picks
Manage episode 434052969 series 3581351
Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler.
Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/
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TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 - Introduction
1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle
4:04 - the goal of Variance betting
5:45 - models + humans
8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle
13:26 - Learning from your mistakes
14:04 - The market implied model
16:09 - Value in the winners market
17:10 - Different odds styles
18:41 - Back to the winners market
19:56 - The Arsenal wager
21:43 - Liverpool's value
22:28 - The top four
23:56 - Bankroll management
25:00 - Manchester United's value
25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value
27:33 - The relegation market
28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances
28:50 - Ipswich's Odds
29:12 - Leicester losing their coach
29:33 - Crystal Palace
30:41 - Wolves chances
30:58 - Everton to stay up?
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
49 حلقات
Manage episode 434052969 series 3581351
Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler.
Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/
Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Follow us on our Socials:
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q
X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 - Introduction
1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle
4:04 - the goal of Variance betting
5:45 - models + humans
8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle
13:26 - Learning from your mistakes
14:04 - The market implied model
16:09 - Value in the winners market
17:10 - Different odds styles
18:41 - Back to the winners market
19:56 - The Arsenal wager
21:43 - Liverpool's value
22:28 - The top four
23:56 - Bankroll management
25:00 - Manchester United's value
25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value
27:33 - The relegation market
28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances
28:50 - Ipswich's Odds
29:12 - Leicester losing their coach
29:33 - Crystal Palace
30:41 - Wolves chances
30:58 - Everton to stay up?
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
49 حلقات
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