1-27-25 DeepSeek Or Deep Sink?

The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Player FM - Internet Radio Done Right

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تمت الإضافة منذ قبل seven عام

المحتوى المقدم من The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. يتم تحميل جميع محتويات البودكاست بما في ذلك الحلقات والرسومات وأوصاف البودكاست وتقديمها مباشرة بواسطة The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts أو شريك منصة البودكاست الخاص بهم. إذا كنت تعتقد أن شخصًا ما يستخدم عملك المحمي بحقوق الطبع والنشر دون إذنك، فيمكنك اتباع العملية الموضحة هنا https://ar.player.fm/legal.

TechSurge: Deep Tech VC Podcast

1
Understanding the Elegant Math Behind Modern Machine Learning 1:14:43

منذ 6 أيام1:14:43

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قوائم

إعجاب

احب

1:14:43

Artificial intelligence is evolving at an unprecedented pace—what does that mean for the future of technology, venture capital, business, and even our understanding of ourselves? Award-winning journalist and writer Anil Ananthaswamy joins us for our latest episode to discuss his latest book Why Machines Learn: The Elegant Math Behind Modern AI . Anil helps us explore the journey and many breakthroughs that have propelled machine learning from simple perceptrons to the sophisticated algorithms shaping today’s AI revolution, powering GPT and other models. The discussion aims to demystify some of the underlying math that powers modern machine learning to help everyone grasp this technology impacting our lives, even if your last math class was in high school. Anil walks us through the power of scaling laws, the shift from training to inference optimization, and the debate among AI’s pioneers about the road to AGI—should we be concerned, or are we still missing key pieces of the puzzle? The conversation also delves into AI’s philosophical implications—could understanding how machines learn help us better understand ourselves? And what challenges remain before AI systems can truly operate with agency? If you enjoy this episode, please subscribe and leave us a review on your favorite podcast platform. Sign up for our newsletter at techsurgepodcast.com for exclusive insights and updates on upcoming TechSurge Live Summits. Links: Read Why Machines Learn, Anil’s latest book on the math behind AI https://www.amazon.com/Why-Machines-Learn-Elegant-Behind/dp/0593185749 Learn more about Anil Ananthaswamy’s work and writing https://anilananthaswamy.com/ Watch Anil Ananthaswamy’s TED Talk on AI and intelligence https://www.ted.com/speakers/anil_ananthaswamy Discover the MIT Knight Science Journalism Fellowship that shaped Anil’s AI research https://ksj.mit.edu/ Understand the Perceptron, the foundation of neural networks https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perceptron Read about the Perceptron Convergence Theorem and its significance https://www.nature.com/articles/323533a0…

منذ عام واحد 45:54

MP3•منزل الحلقة

The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this America's "Sputnik Moment?" Lance provides a concise primer on all things DeepSeek. Faster, cheaper chips upset the technology race: We knew this day would come (just didn't think it would be over the weekend!) The Open Source advantage; the need to unleash America's best and brightest. Commentary on the decline of American educational rankings. DeepSeek is a wake-up call. SEG-1: The DeepSeek Reveal & Shortest Trade War Ever SEG-2: DeepSeek vs AI: What does it mean? SEG-3: What is DeepSeek? SEG-4: We Knew This Day Would Come Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Caution is the Watchword," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Using Drone Mentality for Financial Success" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #SputnikMoment #MarketCatalyst #CautionWatchword #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

1936 حلقات

#Lance Roberts #News #Trading #Business #Real Investment #Technically Speaking

1-27-25 DeepSeek Or Deep Sink?

The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

40 subscribers

published منذ عام واحد

MP3•منزل الحلقة

1936 حلقات

#Lance Roberts #News #Trading #Business #Real Investment #Technically Speaking

Wszystkie odcinki

1
3-4-25 What To Do When Everyone is Bearish 46:20

منذ 1 day46:20

46:20

Tariffs take effect as markets are in mid-correction; investors are extremely bearish. Tariffs only impact production side; consumers may choose not to buy at elevated prices. Lance and Jonathan discuss avocados vs mangos. Markets continue to trade in a broad, large range; markets are seeking an interim bottom. Markets are over sold, and money flows are reversing. Is Christina Lance's Agent 99? Trade Wars, Tariffs, & Inflation: Trade War II effects (charts); Bullish sentiment is at lowest level since 2022; loss aversion psychology. A look at diversification and the role of Bonds; how we build our portfolios (more charts). WWWBB: What would Warren Buffett buy (or sell); why 13-F's are revealing reading (but remember, they're only updated quarterly!) A discussion of portfolio weighting theory; Turtle Trading; nibbling on developed international stocks? All are on the brink of recession. SEG-1: Tariffs Take Effect SEG-2: Get Smart, Trade Wars, & Inflation SEG-3: Diversification & Bonds: SEG-4: What Would Warren Buffett Buy? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qCTzhxdR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Adjust for Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Markets March Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #Tariffs #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #GetSmart #WarrenBuffett #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
3-3-25 Will Markets March Ahead? 46:18

منذ 4 أيام46:18

46:18

Will Donald Trump's Crypto-reserve translate into a boon for tech stocks and cryptocurrencies? The Atlanta Fed GDP shows negative growth: This does not mean recessionary. Front loading of purchases ahead of tariff imposition will result in pullback from anticipated purchasing later in the year, affecting profits. March is a seasonally strong month. A look at the market rally and rotation trades; the economy is not bad, but pullbacks are coming from DOGE cuts in government spending and job losses, and the impact of fewer immigrants for hiring. (Where are most jobs now being created?) The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is in contraction. Removing government bloat is not without consequence. Don't under-estimate the impact of government policy and hiring on the economy. Lance next discusses the elevated risk appetite of Gen-X investors, who have never known anything but an ever-climbing market climate; the impact of financial crisis & dealin with risk. Lance reviews his essay, "CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation." Valuations reflect sentiment; is "easy-street" for investors coming to an end? SEG-1: Trump's Crypto Reserve: Rally in Tech? SEG-2: Market Rallies & Rotation Trade SEG-3: Don't Underestimate Impact of Gov't Hiring SEG-4: CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Negative Sentiment will Fuel Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Instant Results Coming from Social Security Fairness Act" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-28-25 Instant Results Coming from Social Secuity Fairness Act 46:23

منذ 7 أيام46:23

46:23

Rich & Matt share thoughts about the late Gene Hackman, followed by market commentary and Bitcoin's behavior: It's NOT a diversifier, but quite speculative. Observations about market performance during the first year of a new presidency. Rich shares his childhood wardrobe prompts (Gene Hackman), and talks PCE preview and the price of eggs. A look at the Social Security Fairness Act provisions that appear to provide back pay to some retirees, effective immediately. Some are in for a windfall as a result of the elimination of the Windfall Elimination Provision in the Social Security Fairness act. Rich and Matt discuss Social Security Reform Updates, Windfall Elimination Provision is Explained, along with Government Pension Offset Changes, and how some retiree benefits could increase almost immediately. A few choice words about the SSA and IRS computer systems. Health is connected to wealth; the Taste of Texas acquires an amazing artifact; Lance publishes his tome on CAPE-5 Valuation. Richard addresses the creation of a personal rate of return you need to know; Bitcoin is not going to bail out your weakened portfolio. Be realistic in your forward-looking estimates. SEG-1a: Gene Hackman Obit SEG-1b: Why Bitcoin is Not a Diversifier SEG-2a: Wardrobe Cues from Gene Hackman SEG-2b: Core PCE Preview & Egg Inflation SEG-2c: Social Security Fairness Act Immediacy SEG-3: Health, Wealth, & CAPE-5 Valuation SEG-4: Creating a Personal Rate of Return Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Beats - What Now?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Beats - What Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityFairness #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #FinancialJustice #WeDeserveBetter #MarketRally #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #EggPrices #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

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2-27-25 Nvidia Beats - What Now 46:20

منذ 7 أيام46:20

46:20

Earnings season is all but done after last night's Q4 Report from Nvidia, which beat estimates, but did not inspire markets. The next dynamic to affect markets will be the closing of the buy back window ahead of Q2 Earnings reporting season. Investor behavior and market psychology is as bearish as ever. We're now seeing risk-off rotation; Lance revisits the effective use of stop-loss settings, and the importance of allowing market activity to mature. Nvidia underwhelms despite beating estimates; this is why fundamentals matter. Could Nvidia become the next "cash cow," a la Apple? RIP, Gene Hackman. Lance and Michael discuss creating liquidity out of debt, and the Fed's Reverse Repo tool. Recent Fed minutes hint at tweaking liquidity ahead of debt ceiling adjustments. Investor psychology and levels of bearishness not unlike pre-crash mentality. This may be the year with high volatility and markets go nowhere. How to be more rational? Adjust views of markets in varying time-spans (weekly, monthly) vs hourly and daily. Double-down or get out? Avoid anchoring on purchase price. SEG-1: Markets Unimpressed w Nvidia Beat SEG-2: Nvidia Beats: Why Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: RIP Gene Hackman; Creating Liquidity from Debt SEG-4: Behavioral Economics: Managing Your Inner Voice Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid an Inheritance Nightmare" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #MarketVolatility #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

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2-26-25 How to Avoid an Inheritance Nightmare 46:23

منذ 8 أيام46:23

46:23

It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters; the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers? SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective Phase SEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTok SEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet" SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate Planning SEG-4: Interpreting Consumer Confidence Surveys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

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2-25-25 Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic 46:24

منذ 9 أيام46:24

46:24

The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index falls to -4.3: Looks like the data is catching up with reality. Excess Savings Metric: Most are in no better financial shape than before the pandemic; implications to companies' earnings that the bottom 90% are beginning to struggle. Markets challenged the 50-DMA and failed on Monday; likely to be in a corrective phase for a while. "If I were President, the first thing I would do..." Lance and Jonathan solve all problems: Cleaning up D.C. first, and the changes are not going to be without pain. Analysts are extremely optimistic in their earnings estimates for 2026; investors should be careful about over-paying for stocks priced based on these estimates. What Valuation really means: Sentiment. The Schiller CAPE Ratio vs Lance's 5-yar CAPE Ratio (coming attraction!) Investing like Tiger-21 investors: High Net-worth investors' portfolio allocations; key to success is in assets that are not correlated to smooth out volatility. What is true diversification. Why NOT put assets (Gold, Real Estate) into an IRA? Lance and Jonathan provide sound advice here. Is the DOGE Dividend a good idea? Better ways to maximize fat-cutting savings without igniting more inflation. SEG-1: Economic Data is Catching Up w Reality SEG-2: Cleaning up D.C. & Optimistic Analysts SEG-3a What Valuations Really Mean SEG-3b: High Net-worth Investors & Private Equity SEG-4a: Why Not Put Assets in IRA? SEG-4b: The DOGE Dividend: Best Practices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets In Corrective Phase," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_Qnw3WH9qU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CoronavirusDiscovery #StockMarketForecast #AnalystEstimates #ParabolicStocks #EarningsSeason #MarketTrends #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-24-25 New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets 46:20

منذ 10 أيام46:20

46:20

Lance has come up with a new business model for a Help Desk subscription service. It works on anything. The problem with margin debt; there's no appetite for IPO's. What Wall st. is doing instead. market sell off on Friday more the result of volatility around options expiration than Wuhan Lab news of the second coming of Covid. Don't expect any reflex rally today to hold. Economic indicators continue to hint at weaknesses; be aware of the content feeding sentiment surveys. There is a Republican and Democrat dynamic to the data and its interpretation. Two expectations feed into term Premium. Coming this week: The second revision to Q4 GDP (as opposed to China's one-and-done reporting. Or else.) PCE inflation report preview. Will markets ever never focus on Data next-day-ism? (no.) Lance recounts his first exposure to investing, 'Learning from Mr. Lehman." Reading the WSJ, the news was days-old, and average stock holding period was 7-years; contrast with velocity of information today, and average stock holding period not is 4-months. Markets have become like casinos (and the house always wins). What does all of this have to do with margin debt? Short-termism & Market casinos: knowing the rules. Margin debt vs stock prices. The velocity of increase in margin debt is alarming: It provides buying power on the way up, but also adds fuel for selling power on the way down. Margin calls create mandatory selling. SEG-1: Market Correction Not Unexpected SEG-2: Economic Indicators Continue to Show Weakness SEG-3: Learning from Mr. Lehman SEG-4: Short-termism, Market Casino's, and Margin Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets' Reflex Rally Hold?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I41LvgZmcZc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Bears Come Out of Hibernation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends#InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-21-25 When Bears Come Out of Hibernation 1:32:53

منذ 10 أيام1:32:53

1:32:53

Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappucino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at how retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im4-UkJTRuM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-21-25 When Bears Come Out of Hibernation 1:32:53

منذ 13 يومًا1:32:53

1:32:53

Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappuccino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at hour retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-20-25 Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace The Dollar 46:06

منذ 13 يومًا46:06

46:06

he latest Fed Meeting Minutes are out with a bit of insight; Trump's economic policies appear to be deflationary, as consumer strength is weakening; WalMart and Costco are tempering their forward guidance in anticipation. Palantir CEO is selling LOTS of shares as the Defense Dept. is being pushed by DOGE to cut spending. Market pullbacks may offer investors' opportunity; markets continue to do well, but there's a dichotomy between weighted indexes and those with less concentration of Mag-7 stocks. Money flows are still positive, with a surge into the survivors of the SPAC craze phase: More speculative mood. And then there's the "Alien ETF..." Can the Fed stop QT while debt ceiling is under consideration; the the Fed isn't saying about driving liquidity by pausing QT. Cane's vs KFC (we're now identifying generational preferences for fried chicken??) Is the Fed handcuffing itself with the stickiness of inflation vs rising yields? The Fed is setting its own trap with no two-way street on interest rates. Why the Fed needs to keep its mouth shut! The US dollar is the only lawful money in the United States. While some think Bitcoin can supplant the dollar, they fail to acknowledge that it has significant flaws, which we believe are critical to understanding why Bitcoin should not be lawful money. Lance and Michael discuss Bitcoin vs US Dollar, Cryptocurrency and Fiat Currency, and the concept of Bitcoin as Legal Tender, plus the future of Bitcoin and USD, and Digital Currency vs Traditional Money. Why Bitcoin will not replace the Dollar; the supply of money is important; the issue of value volatility: Bitcoin pricing is not dependable. To have a dynamic economy, a dynamic currency is required; Dollars still make the world go round. Currency must correlate with markets. SEG-1: Deflationary Trump Policies & Weakening Consumers SEG-2: Money Surges into SPAC Veterans SEG-3a: Cane's vs KFC SEG-3b: Is the Fed Handcuffing Itself? SEG-4: Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace The Dollar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-bitcoin-will-not-replace-the-dollar/ "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What You Should Do with a Severance Package," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-19-25 What You Should Do With A Severance Package 46:20

منذ 14 يومًا46:20

46:20

The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? As thousands of government workers are being invited to leave, and Chevron offers severance packages to a swath of its employees, what's the best strategy if you're offered an opportunity to retire? Take a lump-sum or annuitize the dollars? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff offer helpful suggestions if you're facing "permanent furlough" with severance package advice and suggestions on how to invest severance pay; how to manage a severance package and severance pay tax strategies; and, what to do after job layoff. The DOGE deep dive into Social Security is getting interesting. Should SS benefits be taxed or not? How to best reform SS? Lance's pre-ski vacation diet and more discussion on the proper way to reform and sustain Social Security. Reports on 401k plan participation are deceiving. SEG-1: NY Fed Reports Some Improvement; NVIDIA Recovers from DeepSeek Dip SEG-2: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-1 SEG-3a: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-2 SEG-3b: DOGE & the Social Security Challenge SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-Time Highs Generate All-Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market for Correction," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #SeverancePackage #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAfterLayoff #WealthManagement #CareerTransition #SocialSecurity #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-18-25 Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market For Correction 46:19

منذ 15 يومًا46:19

46:19

It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days. Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks is what has helped, in part, keep markets elevated. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” In our recent Bull Bear reports, we discussed the push by retail investors, but looking at retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks.” Retail investors are expected to become more bullish about increasing equity exposure when markets rise. However, the more extended markets become, the more confident investors are about increasing speculative risk. In other words, “success breeds confidence.” Lance reviews the dynamic between margin debt and free cash (w/charts); Lance and Jonathan examine the in's and out's of private equity fund investing; a discussion of the 60/40 portfolio rule viability; FOMO vs the fear of loss. SEG-1:The 90th Anniversary of Social Security SEG-2: Looking at margin Debt vs Free Cash SEG-3: Private Fund Investing Pro's & Con's SEG-4: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Assets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If You Live to 100?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jao-pXxZ46U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #MagSeven #Nvidia #Meta #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketCorrection #RetailInvesting #MarketCrashAlert #StockMarketBubble #MarginDebt #FreeCash #FOMO #PrivateEquityFund #60_40_portfolio #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-14-25 What If You Live To 100? 46:17

منذ 19 يومًا46:17

46:17

Richard is in rare form for Valentine's Day with his unique analysis of latest economic numbers: Expect revisions to lowe the data points. There's no reason for the Fed to lower rates. How we're dealing with stubborn, sticky inflation; price deflation would be a bigger problem; companies have no pricing power. A discussion of egg alternatives and the sources of inflation; higher credit card balances; customer substitutions of goods. Market resiliency: The Mag-7 isn't quice as magnificent this year. Financial planning for living to 100 and how long you plan to live; longevity is a result of combination of genetics & lifestyle (Jack LaLanne). Our next Candid Coffee is detailed (registration link is below); Karen's self-driving car and Tesla setting we'd like to see. Planning against longevity risk & aging in place. How to manage Social Security & cash flows in retireement. The SS Fairnet Act impact on RMD's; your base line for planning is going to be the RMD you must take. The significance of ROth money: Leave it in place for as long as you can. A brief discussion of the complications with Trusts & Estates and inherited income. The Rothfication act. SEG-1: VD Jokes & Economic Analysis: Inflation vs Deflation SEG-2a: Egg Alternatives & Inflation Sources SEG-2b: Financial Planning for Living to 100 SEG-3a Candid Coffee promo & Tesla Driver Settings SEG-3b: Planning Against Longevity Risk SEG-4: Impact of the SS Fairnes Act on RMD's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation On the Rise: What Does it Mean?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #LongevityFinance #WealthForLife #LiveTo100 #FinancialFreedom #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

1
2-13-25 Inflation On The Rise - What Does It Mean 46:18

منذ 20 يومًا46:18

46:18

Lance's Valentine's Day PSA (the short version) & Jerome Powell's annual Congressional testimony: Everything is volatile; headline generator. Cracks in the economy are emerging: Jobs numbers are full of "seasonal adjustments:" Indicators that employment and Labor Market are weakening. The impact of hot CPI: Markets hold support and price compression; in a wait-and-see mode. Trump reciprocal tariffs coming. Lance & Michael discuss where inflation comes from (with charts!), noting that January numbers generally tend to run "hot." The second half of February tends to be weak. Jerome Powell's annual congressional testimony: The Fed does not control mortgage rates (but the Fed DOES have mortgage-backed securities on its balance sheet). The Fed is dovishly hawkish; depends more on PCE Inflation metrics. Lance explains CPI, PPI acronyms. Michael's commentary on truflation, which leads CPI by 45-days. Lance & Michael discuss Growth vs Value and the world according to GARP. SEG-1: Cracks in the Economy are Emerging SEG-2: Where Inflation Comes From SEG-3: The Fed is Dovishly Hawkish SEG-4: Truflation Commentary & Investing According to GARP Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

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2-12-5 CPI Day 46:21

منذ 21 يومًا46:21

46:21

Today's market activity will hing upon this morning's CPI Print (which showed consumer prices rising higher than expected). WEven more telling will be tomorrow's PPI numbers showing input costs. The question to be answered by investors is what the trend of inflation is, and what the Fed will do next. Will companies be able to pass along higher costs to consumers? What is driving inflation? Oil price increases are a short-term indicator, but have a 90-lag in data. Lance delivers his annual Valentine's Day Public Service Announcement. Lance and Danny review questions from this past weekend's Candid Coffee episode [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qy0IzfJ7fkI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=95s]: Outisde of treasuries and US government bonds, there are no "safe" investments. Dividend Yields and bond durations; what about SPY t=for tax efficient income: What are you giving up? Covered calls & puts: Options have the highest risk. It's all or nothing. Alternative Investment Funds: Private Crddit Real Estate Fund is coming; the challenge of liquidity in alternative investing, exit strategies. Dealing with annuities: They're not for everyone or everything. The importance of diversification. SEG-1: Markets at Make-or-Break Moment SEG-2a: Valentine's PSA SEG-2b: Candid Coffee Q&A: There is No Risk-free Investment SEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A: Investing Duration, Options All or Nothing SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Alternative Investing & Diversification Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Response to CPI " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZqy-WMDZG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "FOMO is Alive & Well," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…

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