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المحتوى المقدم من Financial Source. يتم تحميل جميع محتويات البودكاست بما في ذلك الحلقات والرسومات وأوصاف البودكاست وتقديمها مباشرة بواسطة Financial Source أو شريك منصة البودكاست الخاص بهم. إذا كنت تعتقد أن شخصًا ما يستخدم عملك المحمي بحقوق الطبع والنشر دون إذنك، فيمكنك اتباع العملية الموضحة هنا https://ar.player.fm/legal.
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October 9th, New York Update: Global Markets and Geopolitical Briefing

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Manage episode 512639922 series 3683267
المحتوى المقدم من Financial Source. يتم تحميل جميع محتويات البودكاست بما في ذلك الحلقات والرسومات وأوصاف البودكاست وتقديمها مباشرة بواسطة Financial Source أو شريك منصة البودكاست الخاص بهم. إذا كنت تعتقد أن شخصًا ما يستخدم عملك المحمي بحقوق الطبع والنشر دون إذنك، فيمكنك اتباع العملية الموضحة هنا https://ar.player.fm/legal.

Show Notes — Current Market & News Briefing (Thu, 9 Oct 2025, US Open)

Focus: FX, commodities, trade/tariffs, geopolitics
Excluded: Equities, fixed income (unless tied to FX), crypto

FX

  • USD: Extends gains; shutdown data void shifts focus to Fed speak rather than prints.
  • JPY: USD/JPY ~153 after steady Asia; markets watch Japan’s political handover timing and any official pushback on FX pace.
  • EUR: Subdued but steadier as France signals a new PM path and budget route by year-end.
  • GBP: Softer on crosses ahead of BoE commentary; limited UK data impulses.
  • NZD/AUD: NZD still heavy post-RBNZ -50 bp with guidance open to more cuts; AUD mixed despite China’s post-holiday return.

Commodities

  • Gold: Pauses near $4,000/oz after setting a new ATH (~$4,059); haven bid persists amid headline volatility.
  • Oil: Slightly higher despite Gaza ceasefire headlines; market balances reduced disruption risk with China demand resumption and supply signals.
  • Metals: Copper holds gains as Chinese markets reopen; broader complex firmer on improved liquidity.

Trade, Tariffs & Tech Policy

  • China: New export controls (effective Dec 1) on rare earths and related equipment; tighter rules for dual-use and military end-users; added items tied to lithium batteries, artificial graphite anodes, and super-hard materials.
  • US–Canada: Ottawa says scope for bilateral deals alongside USMCA (steel/auto focus).
  • US pharma tariffs: Reported consideration to exclude generics (decision not final).
  • Vietnam–US: Negotiators traveling Oct/Nov to continue trade talks.
  • China lists: Several foreign firms added to “unreliable entities” roster, signaling a tighter operating climate for defense/sensitive tech.

Geopolitics

  • Middle East (Gaza): First-phase ceasefire terms agreed (hostage-prisoner exchange; initial Israeli pullback to an agreed line). Conflicting timing reports; cabinet approval expected, with initial releases possibly this weekend.
  • Taiwan/China: Taipei warns of intensified hybrid warfare (AI-enabled cyber ops, gray-zone pressure) targeting infrastructure and public trust.
  • Russia–Ukraine: Kyiv flags pressure near Pokrovsk; warns Russian fuel supply could tighten from Ukrainian strikes; Kremlin says US–Russia dialogue on a “serious pause.”
  • UN peacekeeping: Plans to reduce deployments ~25% due to funding constraints.

Watch next: USD vs. JPY/EUR/GBP levels, NZD reaction post-RBNZ, gold around $4k, oil as China demand normalizes, concrete steps on rare-earth controls and US–Canada trade items, and the Gaza ceasefire’s move from agreement to implementation.

  continue reading

92 حلقات

Artwork
iconمشاركة
 
Manage episode 512639922 series 3683267
المحتوى المقدم من Financial Source. يتم تحميل جميع محتويات البودكاست بما في ذلك الحلقات والرسومات وأوصاف البودكاست وتقديمها مباشرة بواسطة Financial Source أو شريك منصة البودكاست الخاص بهم. إذا كنت تعتقد أن شخصًا ما يستخدم عملك المحمي بحقوق الطبع والنشر دون إذنك، فيمكنك اتباع العملية الموضحة هنا https://ar.player.fm/legal.

Show Notes — Current Market & News Briefing (Thu, 9 Oct 2025, US Open)

Focus: FX, commodities, trade/tariffs, geopolitics
Excluded: Equities, fixed income (unless tied to FX), crypto

FX

  • USD: Extends gains; shutdown data void shifts focus to Fed speak rather than prints.
  • JPY: USD/JPY ~153 after steady Asia; markets watch Japan’s political handover timing and any official pushback on FX pace.
  • EUR: Subdued but steadier as France signals a new PM path and budget route by year-end.
  • GBP: Softer on crosses ahead of BoE commentary; limited UK data impulses.
  • NZD/AUD: NZD still heavy post-RBNZ -50 bp with guidance open to more cuts; AUD mixed despite China’s post-holiday return.

Commodities

  • Gold: Pauses near $4,000/oz after setting a new ATH (~$4,059); haven bid persists amid headline volatility.
  • Oil: Slightly higher despite Gaza ceasefire headlines; market balances reduced disruption risk with China demand resumption and supply signals.
  • Metals: Copper holds gains as Chinese markets reopen; broader complex firmer on improved liquidity.

Trade, Tariffs & Tech Policy

  • China: New export controls (effective Dec 1) on rare earths and related equipment; tighter rules for dual-use and military end-users; added items tied to lithium batteries, artificial graphite anodes, and super-hard materials.
  • US–Canada: Ottawa says scope for bilateral deals alongside USMCA (steel/auto focus).
  • US pharma tariffs: Reported consideration to exclude generics (decision not final).
  • Vietnam–US: Negotiators traveling Oct/Nov to continue trade talks.
  • China lists: Several foreign firms added to “unreliable entities” roster, signaling a tighter operating climate for defense/sensitive tech.

Geopolitics

  • Middle East (Gaza): First-phase ceasefire terms agreed (hostage-prisoner exchange; initial Israeli pullback to an agreed line). Conflicting timing reports; cabinet approval expected, with initial releases possibly this weekend.
  • Taiwan/China: Taipei warns of intensified hybrid warfare (AI-enabled cyber ops, gray-zone pressure) targeting infrastructure and public trust.
  • Russia–Ukraine: Kyiv flags pressure near Pokrovsk; warns Russian fuel supply could tighten from Ukrainian strikes; Kremlin says US–Russia dialogue on a “serious pause.”
  • UN peacekeeping: Plans to reduce deployments ~25% due to funding constraints.

Watch next: USD vs. JPY/EUR/GBP levels, NZD reaction post-RBNZ, gold around $4k, oil as China demand normalizes, concrete steps on rare-earth controls and US–Canada trade items, and the Gaza ceasefire’s move from agreement to implementation.

  continue reading

92 حلقات

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