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What Are My Favorite Forecasting Methods?
Manage episode 327713766 series 2810825
المحتوى المقدم من IBF0 Eric Wilson CPF. يتم تحميل جميع محتويات البودكاست بما في ذلك الحلقات والرسومات وأوصاف البودكاست وتقديمها مباشرة بواسطة IBF0 Eric Wilson CPF أو شريك منصة البودكاست الخاص بهم. إذا كنت تعتقد أن شخصًا ما يستخدم عملك المحمي بحقوق الطبع والنشر دون إذنك، فيمكنك اتباع العملية الموضحة هنا https://ar.player.fm/legal.
IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here: http://bit.ly/business-forecasting
00:00 Intro
01:21 IBF Conferences https://ibf.org/forecasting-and-plann...
02:48 A peak inside my forecasting tool box
05:00 The types of forecasting methods available to you
08:33 How to decide which method to use - accuracy vs interpretability
12:41 The most common methods used in business forecasting
13:36 Judgmental methods: sales force, jury method, expert opinion, Delphi method
17:09 Time series forecasting: naïve, average, decomposition, exponential smoothing
23:55 Causal and relationship methods: simple linear, multiples, logistic, ratios
26:30 Machine learning: Bayesian, logistic, trees, neural networks"
28:30 Clustering: constraint, hierarchical, distribution, centroid
30:45 How to pick the best model
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