Ep 175: Hope and Despair — What Exactly Goes Into Models for Predicting Sports Outcomes?
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Rafe goes solo, discussing wagering on sports situations, namely the NCAA tournament and going for 2 and going for it on fourth down in football.
After some considerations he concludes that the things we really need in sports betting models are Hope and Despair, two of the many things that the we cannot measure and that the materialists refuse to entertain.
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