College Football September 21, 2024

The Griff Report

A different week in college football than what we have seen thus far, with the SEC playing their choice of non conference door mats for the most part, the ones playing league games feature a Florida team who has been unable to bring things together getting beat and beat bad last week, and in week 1 they just looked unable to compete with Miami. Same thing on the Mississippi State side who has just been demolished early in games vs. Arizona State and Toledo. Not sure what to really think here as the Gators are -6 on the road. Someone is going to get a conference win and with Napier on the hot seat I will take Florida with little confidence. Might as well go with a total play also maybe with uncertainty all around I’ll give you a pick but I won’t put a dollar on this game personally because I just havent’ seen it. Consensus is Florida -6 and over 58, but with the Bulldogs expected to try to run the ball via 3 man committee I don’t trust it.

-Pass on this unless you are just a fan of one of these schools

On down the line to Arkansas vs. Auburn – These two aren’t the top of the league either but I’ve at least watched the Hogs play vs. Ok. St. and they managed to barely cover when they should have won. I also saw a bit of Cal beating Auburn and really all that is out the window because the division may be gone but this is an SEC West clash. Auburn has won 2 of 3 in the matchup and this has been where the Tigers bounce off a lot of points in margin of victory. Yea Petrino may have something to turn things back the hogs way as 92% of the consensus is on the visiting Razorbacks. The total not receiving much action but Auburn has put up 113 in the last 3 vs. Arkansas. So I have no idea how these two are going to change the way things have gone the past few matchups. I’ll take the over 56 even with early consensus 84 % under, I’ll also say hold up on Auburn just getting steam rolled here and take Auburn with 8% consensus only right now -140 because even with all the action on the Razorbacks the bookmaker still has Auburn hanging on installed favorite for the matchup.

Auburn -140 , Auburn over Team Total, Arkansas/Auburn OVER 56.

A quick walk through some of my other SEC picks

LSU -22

Tennessee -7 OVER 56.5

Ole Miss Over Team Total/ GASO-OleMISS OVER 67

Kentucky UNDER 42

South Carolina UNDER 42

Dog Day Afternoon? These are in my opinion the best ones and you may want to try money line on these underdogs if your into that sort of thing.

Rutgers +3.5

Baylor +2

Navy +9.5

BYU+6.5

James Madison +10.5

Kansas +2

Wyoming +7

Western Kentucky +2

Purdue +4

Georgia Tech +10.5

What else now? Well we got some action in BC vs. Mich St. where O’brien has the Eagles playing well. The action at consensus sees BC-6.5 and UNDER 45 winning by a landslide, but remember folks this thing is a real game not an election.

FSU looking for their first win against California where the Noles are -140. At least DJ has played QB last year vs. this Cal team.

Michigan host USC – The question here is how good is Michigan at stopping those wide receivers? UM pass defense is 98th in the nation and this is a group with NFL talent. Maybe not the same way that Texas went in and won because the Wolverines should be able to run here and try to shorten the game. Consensus has UNDER 44 and the visitors leaving with a cover but the Big House is a difficult place to win at.

Out of that list I’ll sit down and see where I feel comfortable putting the actual wager on.

As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday of college football!