Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Universal Basic Income and Poverty, published by Eliezer Yudkowsky on July 26, 2024 on LessWrong.(Crossposted from Twitter)I'm skeptical that Universal Basic Income …

Eliezer Yudkowsky periodically complains about people coming up with questionable plans with questionable assumptions to deal with AI, and then either: Saying "well, if this assumption doesn't hold, we're doomed, so we might as well assume it's true." Worse: coming up with cope-y reasons to assume that the assumption isn't even questionable at all.…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #74: GPT-4o Mini Me and Llama 3, published by Zvi on July 26, 2024 on LessWrong.We got two big model releases this week. GPT-4o Mini is covered here. Llama 3.1-40…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A Solomonoff Inductor Walks Into a Bar: Schelling Points for Communication, published by johnswentworth on July 26, 2024 on LessWrong.A Solomonoff inductor walks int…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: "AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems", published by gjm on July 25, 2024 on LessWrong.Google DeepMind reports on a…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Llama Llama-3-405B?, published by Zvi on July 25, 2024 on LessWrong.It's here. The horse has left the barn. Llama-3.1-405B, and also Llama-3.1-70B and Llama-3.1-8B, …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The last era of human mistakes, published by owencb on July 25, 2024 on LessWrong.Suppose we had to take moves in a high-stakes chess game, with thousands of lives a…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: You should go to ML conferences, published by Jan Kulveit on July 24, 2024 on LessWrong.This is second kind of obvious point to make, but if you are interested in AI…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The Cancer Resolution?, published by PeterMcCluskey on July 24, 2024 on LessWrong.Book review: The Cancer Resolution?: Cancer reinterpreted through another lens, by …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Confusing the metric for the meaning: Perhaps correlated attributes are "natural", published by NickyP on July 24, 2024 on LessWrong.Epistemic status: possibly trivi…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Monthly Roundup #20: July 2024, published by Zvi on July 24, 2024 on LessWrong.It is monthly roundup time.I invite readers who want to hang out and get lunch in NYC …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Unlearning via RMU is mostly shallow, published by Andy Arditi on July 23, 2024 on LessWrong.This is an informal research note. It is the result of a few-day explora…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: D&D.Sci Scenario Index, published by aphyer on July 23, 2024 on LessWrong.There have been a lot of D&D.Sci scenarios, but there's a lot of variance between them in c…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Categories of leadership on technical teams, published by benkuhn on July 22, 2024 on LessWrong.This is an adaptation of an internal doc I wrote for Anthropic.Recent…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: The $100B plan with "70% risk of killing us all" w Stephen Fry [video], published by Oleg Trott on July 22, 2024 on LessWrong.A high production value 16-minute video…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Efficient Dictionary Learning with Switch Sparse Autoencoders, published by Anish Mudide on July 22, 2024 on LessWrong.Produced as part of the ML Alignment & Theory …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Analyzing DeepMind's Probabilistic Methods for Evaluating Agent Capabilities, published by Axel Højmark on July 22, 2024 on LessWrong.Produced as part of the MATS Pr…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: On the CrowdStrike Incident, published by Zvi on July 22, 2024 on LessWrong.Things went very wrong on Friday.A bugged CrowdStrike update temporarily bricked quite a …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: A simple model of math skill, published by Alex Altair on July 21, 2024 on LessWrong.I've noticed that when trying to understand a math paper, there are a few differ…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why Georgism Lost Its Popularity, published by Zero Contradictions on July 21, 2024 on LessWrong.Henry George's 1879 book Progress & Poverty was the second best-sell…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: (Approximately) Deterministic Natural Latents, published by johnswentworth on July 21, 2024 on LessWrong.Background: Natural Latents: The Math, Natural Latents: The …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Feature Targeted LLC Estimation Distinguishes SAE Features from Random Directions, published by Lidor Banuel Dabbah on July 19, 2024 on LessWrong.Tl;dr: In this post…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How do we know that "good research" is good? (aka "direct evaluation" vs "eigen-evaluation"), published by Ruby on July 19, 2024 on LessWrong.AI Alignment is my moti…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Linkpost: Surely you can be serious, published by kave on July 19, 2024 on LessWrong.Adam Mastroianni writes about "actually caring about stuff, and for the right re…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AI #73: Openly Evil AI, published by Zvi on July 18, 2024 on LessWrong.What do you call a clause explicitly saying that you waive the right to whistleblower compensa…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Individually incentivized safe Pareto improvements in open-source bargaining, published by Nicolas Macé on July 18, 2024 on LessWrong.SummaryAgents might fail to pea…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Mech Interp Lacks Good Paradigms, published by Daniel Tan on July 18, 2024 on LessWrong.Note: I wrote this post rather quickly as an exercise in sharing rough / unpo…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: We ran an AI safety conference in Tokyo. It went really well. Come next year!, published by Blaine on July 18, 2024 on LessWrong.AbstractTechnical AI Safety 2024 (TA…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Friendship is transactional, unconditional friendship is insurance, published by Ruby on July 18, 2024 on LessWrong.It feels a little icky to say, but we befriend pe…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What are you getting paid in?, published by Austin Chen on July 17, 2024 on LessWrong.Crossposting this essay by my friend, Leila Clark.A long time ago, a manager fr…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, and "Cope", published by Raemon on July 17, 2024 on LessWrong.Eliezer periodically complains about people coming up with q…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Turning Your Back On Traffic, published by jefftk on July 17, 2024 on LessWrong.We do a lot of walking around the neighborhood with kids, which usually involves some…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why the Best Writers Endure Isolation, published by Declan Molony on July 17, 2024 on LessWrong.Douglas Adams, author of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, wasonc…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: DM Parenting, published by Shoshannah Tekofsky on July 17, 2024 on LessWrong.Cause no one will question your ethics if you refer to yourself as a Dungeon Mom.I snort…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Multiplex Gene Editing: Where Are We Now?, published by sarahconstantin on July 16, 2024 on LessWrong.We're starting to get working gene therapies for single-mutatio…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Dialogue on What It Means For Something to Have A Function/Purpose, published by johnswentworth on July 16, 2024 on LessWrong.Context for LW audience: Ramana, Steve …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: I found >800 orthogonal "write code" steering vectors, published by Jacob G-W on July 16, 2024 on LessWrong.Produced as part of the MATS Summer 2024 program, under t…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Towards more cooperative AI safety strategies, published by Richard Ngo on July 16, 2024 on LessWrong.This post is written in a spirit of constructive criticism. It'…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Trust as a bottleneck to growing teams quickly, published by benkuhn on July 15, 2024 on LessWrong.This is an adaptation of an internal doc I wrote for Anthropic.I'v…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: patent process problems, published by bhauth on July 15, 2024 on LessWrong.The current patent process has some problems. Here are some of them.patenting is slowThe U…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Misnaming and Other Issues with OpenAI's "Human Level" Superintelligence Hierarchy, published by Davidmanheim on July 15, 2024 on LessWrong.Bloombergreports that Ope…

This post was inspired by some talks at the recent LessOnline conference including one by LessWrong user “Gene Smith”. Let's say you want to have a “designer baby”. Genetically extraordinary in some way — super athletic, super beautiful, whatever. 6’5”, blue eyes, with a trust fund. Ethics aside[1], what would be necessary to actually do this? Fund…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Breaking Circuit Breakers, published by mikes on July 15, 2024 on LessWrong.A few days ago, Gray Swan published code and models for their recent "circuit breakers" m…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Whiteboard Pen Magazines are Useful, published by Johannes C. Mayer on July 15, 2024 on LessWrong.Glue your colored whiteboard makers together with duck tape to crea…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: LLMs as a Planning Overhang, published by Larks on July 14, 2024 on LessWrong.It's quite possible someone has already argued this, but I thought I should share just …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Ice: The Penultimate Frontier, published by Roko on July 14, 2024 on LessWrong.I argue here that preventing a large iceberg from melting is absurdly cheap per unit a…

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Brief notes on the Wikipedia game, published by Olli Järviniemi on July 14, 2024 on LessWrong.Alex Turner introduced an exercise to test subjects' ability to notice …

Link to original article Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Robin Hanson AI X-Risk Debate - Highlights and Analysis, published by Liron on July 13, 2024 on LessWrong.This linkpost contains a lightly-edited transcript of highl…